Gold prices have surged to a record high of $3,237 per troy ounce, marking the metal’s strongest weekly performance since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. The price jump is attributed to growing economic uncertainty globally, driven by new US tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump, which have sparked concerns over recession risks and financial instability.
- Traditional safe-haven assets like US stocks and Treasury bonds are experiencing a sell-off, making gold more attractive to investors looking for stability.
- The US dollar has weakened significantly, dropping to a three-year low against the euro, further increasing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
- China’s response to US tariffs by slapping a 125 per cent tariff on American imports has increased fears of a full-blown trade war, prompting investors to seek protection in gold.
- Concerns over recession risks
- Rising bond yields
- Financial instability
Market analysts say that concerns over recession risks are driving investors towards gold, as the metal is known to perform well in times of economic stress.
Rising bond yields are also contributing to the gold price surge, as investors seek safer assets to hedge against inflation and financial instability.
Financial instability, particularly in emerging markets, is another key driver of the gold price surge, as investors seek safe-haven assets to protect their wealth.
Central banks, especially in emerging markets, are also buying more gold as they try to reduce their reliance on the dollar. In China, domestic demand has become so strong that buyers are paying a premium over international gold prices, indicating growing anxiety in Asian markets over financial instability.
| Month | Inflows ($ million) |
|---|---|
| January | 150 |
| February | 100 |
| March | 200 |
| April (first quarter) | 350 |
The shift in market sentiment is reflected in the forecast raised by global financial services company Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) to $3,500 per ounce. This is the second time this year that the bank has revised its forecast upwards, showing how quickly the investment landscape is changing.
“The current uncertainty and trade tensions have led investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, and we expect this trend to continue in the months ahead,”
said Markus Huber, Senior Commodities Analyst at UBS.
As doubts over President Trump’s aggressive trade policies continue to grow, experts believe investors will likely keep pouring money into gold in the months ahead. This is a clear indication of the metal’s enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.
The surge in gold prices also highlights the importance of understanding the relationship between gold and economic stability.
